https://www.firstclassmogul.com/ Fri, 23 Oct 2026 22:42:40 +0000 MyBB https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=72451 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 21:07:20 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=72451
  FCM 2152 Draft Scouting.xlsx (Size: 769.12 KB / Downloads: 19) ]]>
  FCM 2152 Draft Scouting.xlsx (Size: 769.12 KB / Downloads: 19) ]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=72163 Mon, 18 May 2026 19:48:58 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=72163 1. SP Victor Santtago 68/93
I looks like he has a stellar opening build, but being that advanced and giving up a .277 OBA in three of his four years is a downer.

2. SS Edward Williams 65/93
Besides this build being very polarizing development wise, his horrid health has him playing around 125 games per season even if his does develop.

3. SS Chris Wanner 66/89
I get it. Vroom = Steals. However, no amount of speed will make up for him being terrible defensively. So, he’ll have Roberto Alomar’s Range to go with Alfonso Soriano’s Glove and Chuck Knoblach’s Arm.

4. SP Royce Fortin 66/93
Dude LOVES to give up home runs. Good thing he was taken by a team with a 115 HR Effect.

5. SP Seth McIntyre 66/93
Does he want to be a power pitcher? Does he want to be a control pitcher? Who knows. He sure doesn’t. Mixing a control build in with a low GB% is no Bueno.

6. SP Reginald Herod 52/92
I know young with a lot of room to grow, but that room from his Control to his Movement coupled with a few pretty high OBA seasons and it’s a no from me dawg.

7. LF Gil Bastilla 72/94
Swings with his eyes closed. Connects sometimes for moonshots. Also fields with his eyes closed. Should try opening them.

8. 1B Jeff Shuck 65/91
Has what you look for in a 1B. Lefty hitter with power above his overall and a good eye. However, Hokey drafted him.

9. SP Joseph Minnix 63/90
That build is gross. Giving up double digit HRs in three different seasons is gross. A 25% GB rate is also gross.

10. RF Yancy Chandler 67/88
Too good of an eye. Won’t swing at pitches. Yep.

11. 1B Ray Tritle 61/94
Look above. Another dude who doesn’t like to swing the bat. Plus, he doesn’t bring a glove with him to the field.

12. 2B Japanese Guy 75/88
He’s Asian.

13. RF Rapahel Arolio 70/81
This is one of those picks where the GM(s) thinks he’s a genius. Yep. It’s smart to take a guy who’ll peak out in two years and become the best bench player in the league in the middle of the first round.

14. SP Gary McKechnie 65/94
Considering his overall, that build is hot ass in a porta potty in the middle of August.

15. RP Adam Rogers 52/89
A reliever this early? And his best skill is his 92 Health? Hmm.

16. SP Tom Millican 69/90
What a very okay, already jumped, pitcher to have. So inspiring that I don’t even have anything sarcastic to say.

17. SP Wilfredo Cabello 67/93
Why is it that teams who have launching pad parks are the ones drawn to the types of pitchers that they should eschew?

18. SP Dave White 52/86
Too scared to take lefties, so the Reds take a guy who shouldn’t have gone until about a half round later.

19. SP Phil Park 80/93
The good news is that he’ll be MLB ready very soon. The bad news is that his floor and ceiling are the same – Long Relief.

20. 3B Jeremy Prinne 67/88
Can’t hit, can’t run, can’t get on base. But at least he can throw the ball!]]> 1. SP Victor Santtago 68/93
I looks like he has a stellar opening build, but being that advanced and giving up a .277 OBA in three of his four years is a downer.

2. SS Edward Williams 65/93
Besides this build being very polarizing development wise, his horrid health has him playing around 125 games per season even if his does develop.

3. SS Chris Wanner 66/89
I get it. Vroom = Steals. However, no amount of speed will make up for him being terrible defensively. So, he’ll have Roberto Alomar’s Range to go with Alfonso Soriano’s Glove and Chuck Knoblach’s Arm.

4. SP Royce Fortin 66/93
Dude LOVES to give up home runs. Good thing he was taken by a team with a 115 HR Effect.

5. SP Seth McIntyre 66/93
Does he want to be a power pitcher? Does he want to be a control pitcher? Who knows. He sure doesn’t. Mixing a control build in with a low GB% is no Bueno.

6. SP Reginald Herod 52/92
I know young with a lot of room to grow, but that room from his Control to his Movement coupled with a few pretty high OBA seasons and it’s a no from me dawg.

7. LF Gil Bastilla 72/94
Swings with his eyes closed. Connects sometimes for moonshots. Also fields with his eyes closed. Should try opening them.

8. 1B Jeff Shuck 65/91
Has what you look for in a 1B. Lefty hitter with power above his overall and a good eye. However, Hokey drafted him.

9. SP Joseph Minnix 63/90
That build is gross. Giving up double digit HRs in three different seasons is gross. A 25% GB rate is also gross.

10. RF Yancy Chandler 67/88
Too good of an eye. Won’t swing at pitches. Yep.

11. 1B Ray Tritle 61/94
Look above. Another dude who doesn’t like to swing the bat. Plus, he doesn’t bring a glove with him to the field.

12. 2B Japanese Guy 75/88
He’s Asian.

13. RF Rapahel Arolio 70/81
This is one of those picks where the GM(s) thinks he’s a genius. Yep. It’s smart to take a guy who’ll peak out in two years and become the best bench player in the league in the middle of the first round.

14. SP Gary McKechnie 65/94
Considering his overall, that build is hot ass in a porta potty in the middle of August.

15. RP Adam Rogers 52/89
A reliever this early? And his best skill is his 92 Health? Hmm.

16. SP Tom Millican 69/90
What a very okay, already jumped, pitcher to have. So inspiring that I don’t even have anything sarcastic to say.

17. SP Wilfredo Cabello 67/93
Why is it that teams who have launching pad parks are the ones drawn to the types of pitchers that they should eschew?

18. SP Dave White 52/86
Too scared to take lefties, so the Reds take a guy who shouldn’t have gone until about a half round later.

19. SP Phil Park 80/93
The good news is that he’ll be MLB ready very soon. The bad news is that his floor and ceiling are the same – Long Relief.

20. 3B Jeremy Prinne 67/88
Can’t hit, can’t run, can’t get on base. But at least he can throw the ball!]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=66510 Mon, 29 Jan 2024 17:05:43 -0600 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=66510
Well, secondly, let's pause and go over a few facts about Mogul and pitch limits.

1. Endurance = The number of pitches that a pitcher can throw before he starts to tire.
2. Pitch Limit = In the individual player's profile, you can set their pitch limit in their Strategies. This is the maximum number of pitches that a pitcher can start the at-bat with.

Mogul will not pull a pitcher during the at-bat simply because he's maxed out his pitch limit, but that will be his last better regardless of the result.
i.e. You have a RP with a 20 pitch limit. He gets the current batter out on the 19th pitch. Mogul may still allow him to pitch to the next batter.

In FCM, this does NOT export with the Team File and must be posted in the Position Changes forum.

Now, here's how I handle my pitching staffs.

1. Starting Pitchers (End x 1.25): Naturally, you want them to go deep into games. I basically take their Endurance and add an extra 25% and this gives me their suggested Pitch Limit. I typically round down to the nearest 5. For pitchers with low 70s endurance (especially those who are RP to SP converts), I'm not as strict on the extra 25% rule. The RP to SP converts have shown the ability to pitch like they have 80 endurance and I will generally give them a further boost depending on how much trust/faith that I have in them.

i.e. 83 End x 1.25 = 103.75, meaning I will give them a 100 Pitch Limit, not 105.

2. Long Reliever (End x 1.20): I want my LRP to be just like another rotation piece. However, here, I'm usually more strict on the Pitch Limit. If they're a 72 endurance, I'm not giving them a further boost and I'll set them at 85, if not 80 to give me a more of a cushion.

3. Middle Reliever (End x 0.80): I usually have a SP that's started to convert into a RP or a SP that I plan to start convert to RP in Spring Training. I like to have them with aroundabout a 40 Pitch Limit. This will have them working in a multi-inning role, but still enough endurance to make an emergency start and not completely deplete your bullpen.

Note, if you do plan to convert in ST, have them in your SRP spots or in AAA and have Short Relief or Closer usage. Both are key. Mogul does not convert pitchers in the MRP or LRP roles on the major league roster.

4. Short and Setup Relievers (End x 0.80): I prefer, true and traditional RPs in these slots. However, if I have a "SP" this these slots, then they will assuredly still have low pitch limits. The goal is for them to get in, gets outs, and then get out of the game before they're tired.

5. Closer (No Limit): As the last line of defense, I'd never want Mogul to pull my Closer early all because a few too many foul balls resulted in him hitting his "limit". Also, I feel that when you give EVERYONE a limit, it makes Mogul do crazy things with your bullpen usage.

So, why all of these limits? For starters, I feel Mogul has a tendency to keep a pitcher in if he's doing well, regardless if it should remove him from the game before he blows up. So, if you can keep those pitches low, it helps Mogul from hurting itself and helps keep them well rested.]]>
Well, secondly, let's pause and go over a few facts about Mogul and pitch limits.

1. Endurance = The number of pitches that a pitcher can throw before he starts to tire.
2. Pitch Limit = In the individual player's profile, you can set their pitch limit in their Strategies. This is the maximum number of pitches that a pitcher can start the at-bat with.

Mogul will not pull a pitcher during the at-bat simply because he's maxed out his pitch limit, but that will be his last better regardless of the result.
i.e. You have a RP with a 20 pitch limit. He gets the current batter out on the 19th pitch. Mogul may still allow him to pitch to the next batter.

In FCM, this does NOT export with the Team File and must be posted in the Position Changes forum.

Now, here's how I handle my pitching staffs.

1. Starting Pitchers (End x 1.25): Naturally, you want them to go deep into games. I basically take their Endurance and add an extra 25% and this gives me their suggested Pitch Limit. I typically round down to the nearest 5. For pitchers with low 70s endurance (especially those who are RP to SP converts), I'm not as strict on the extra 25% rule. The RP to SP converts have shown the ability to pitch like they have 80 endurance and I will generally give them a further boost depending on how much trust/faith that I have in them.

i.e. 83 End x 1.25 = 103.75, meaning I will give them a 100 Pitch Limit, not 105.

2. Long Reliever (End x 1.20): I want my LRP to be just like another rotation piece. However, here, I'm usually more strict on the Pitch Limit. If they're a 72 endurance, I'm not giving them a further boost and I'll set them at 85, if not 80 to give me a more of a cushion.

3. Middle Reliever (End x 0.80): I usually have a SP that's started to convert into a RP or a SP that I plan to start convert to RP in Spring Training. I like to have them with aroundabout a 40 Pitch Limit. This will have them working in a multi-inning role, but still enough endurance to make an emergency start and not completely deplete your bullpen.

Note, if you do plan to convert in ST, have them in your SRP spots or in AAA and have Short Relief or Closer usage. Both are key. Mogul does not convert pitchers in the MRP or LRP roles on the major league roster.

4. Short and Setup Relievers (End x 0.80): I prefer, true and traditional RPs in these slots. However, if I have a "SP" this these slots, then they will assuredly still have low pitch limits. The goal is for them to get in, gets outs, and then get out of the game before they're tired.

5. Closer (No Limit): As the last line of defense, I'd never want Mogul to pull my Closer early all because a few too many foul balls resulted in him hitting his "limit". Also, I feel that when you give EVERYONE a limit, it makes Mogul do crazy things with your bullpen usage.

So, why all of these limits? For starters, I feel Mogul has a tendency to keep a pitcher in if he's doing well, regardless if it should remove him from the game before he blows up. So, if you can keep those pitches low, it helps Mogul from hurting itself and helps keep them well rested.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=66161 Fri, 24 Nov 2023 09:50:14 -0600 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=66161
  FCM 2129 Draft Scouting.xlsx (Size: 761.97 KB / Downloads: 45)

  MLB Book.xlsx (Size: 112.13 KB / Downloads: 3)

  PSBL.xlsx (Size: 91.57 KB / Downloads: 3) ]]>
  FCM 2129 Draft Scouting.xlsx (Size: 761.97 KB / Downloads: 45)

  MLB Book.xlsx (Size: 112.13 KB / Downloads: 3)

  PSBL.xlsx (Size: 91.57 KB / Downloads: 3) ]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=64148 Sun, 25 Dec 2022 10:09:26 -0600 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=64148
Guide
Rank: Where the player ranks in my draft scouting file.

Score: My file gives every player a score in order to rank them. This is a nice tool to see how strong or weak a draft is compared to past drafts.

Last Year: This is simply where last year's player at the same rank scored for reference. (i.e. if pick #20 ranked #25, then it's comparing the score for the 25th ranked draftee from last season, not the 20th pick from last season.

Projection: This is how my file predicts the player will develop. It's mostly based on current upside/peak, but a draftee already aging or jumping can have an effect on the projection as well.



01.  SS Alejandro Soto 73/91 - Age 21
Rank: #2 | Score: 90.73 | Last Year: 92.31
Projection: 86 Con 81 Pow 84 Eye

Granted, I don't think Mike understands the difference between scarcity and value, I do like the pick. He should have a relatively balanced bat to go along with obvious speed and steal ability. Ideally, you'd like for your SS to be better defensively. However, his speed makes up for his arm and range and he'll be a fine defender. The only thing that stops him from being a great player is if he has limited time to develop.

02.  CF Tim Davis 67/93 - Age 19
Rank: #3 | Score: 90.65 | Last Year: 89.71
Projection: 100 Con 77 Pow 81 Eye

Despite Gilly's best efforts, I think he actually made a great pick! Davis should have elite contact to go along with good speed/steal ability. His defense is lackluster and maybe best suited for LF, but again, his speed makes up for less-than-ideal range and he should wind up good enough to patrol central.

03.  SP Adam McGilvernock 65/93 - Age 18
Rank: #1 | Score: 93.33 | Last Year: 95.84
Projection: 88 Con 79 Pow 92 Mov

How does a guy with projected vitals like that rank at #1? Well, when you drop from a 93 peak to a 93 peak when you age, it'll boost your score! Now, it's likely that he truly dropped from a 94 to 93 peak when he aged (remember, Mogul counts by two once 93+ peak/overall), but still a very small aging drop suggests that he'll have a long time to develop and a good candidate to beat his projected vitals. With the evidence provided, I would not be surprised if he develops into an Ace.

04.  SS Marcello Enrigvez 69/84 - Age 20
Rank: #17 | Score: 86.69 | Last Year: 85.49
Projection: 78 Con 76 Pow 78 Eye

If you've been following along to past draft pod reviews, it's no surprise that I really don't like these type of players. It's not that I don't think they could be good, but it's that I feel this build has proven to have a high fail rate and I see it as more of a tease than something to believe. The speed is unquestioned as mega elite. The questionable part is how will his bat develop? These guys just seem to fall short of being impactful offensively and the speed usually isn't enough to save them from being more than a nice bench option. Maybe he bucks the trend?

05.  SP Sean McNeese 52/89 - Age 17
Rank: #16 | Score: 86.82 | Last Year: 85.54
Projection: 86 Con 80 Pow 91 Mov

Despite a middling ranking, I think he's pretty solid. He has a nice control-movement projection to go along with a good GB%. His home runs are a little high, but he's just 17 (18 next sim). With aging next sim, we'll quickly have a good idea of just how long he'll have to develop.

6.  SP John Shew 68/93 - Age 20
Rank: #4 | Score: 89.87 | Last Year: 89.11
Projection: 88 Con 95 Pow 88 Mov

I think he's a very interesting case subject. He's got some impressive starting (and projecting) power. His control is solid and he has the looks of someone who could be an Ace. However, I can't help but think that his movement is too far behind his power. Certainly, movement develops the most out of the three vitals, but I worry that the projections could be right and his movement doesn't get to 90. If it doesn't, I think he could be a guy who is simply good and not dominant.

7.  SP Adam Wheatcroft 69/93 - Age 20
Rank: #9 | Score: 87.80 | Last Year: 87.93
Projection: 83 Con 76 Pow 100 Mov

I don't have a good read on this guy. His control is already behind his movement, but it's not as bad as it would be for a 50s overall pitcher. My guess is that the sanity checks make his control develop better than projected (and as a result, his movement isn't that high). He only shows one season of high home runs (his freshman year of high school), maybe it's an anomaly or maybe it suggests something with a lower GB% from a non-power arm.

8.  SP Bertrand Worth 63/91 - Age 19
Rank: #23 | Score: 84.95 | Last Year: 84.18
Projection: 80 Con 86 Pow 88 Mov

Be shocked! GD took a power arm that probably wasn't one of the top remaining SPs on many other's board. Differing from Wheatcroft, I do like Worth's power and GB% combo. A 40% GB rate is quite nice for a pitcher that I'd more label as a power arm. And like Wheatcroft, he does show some high home run years, but there's a difference in home run issues coming from a 73 movement vs a 59 movement. I think Worth develops in the type of arm that lasts a decade in St. Louis as a reliable starter.

9.  SP Dusty Clowery 63/90 - Age 20
Rank: #27 | Score: 84.63 | Last Year: 84.01
Projection: 83 Con 81 Pow 87 Mov

Even though my file said he was barely a 1st round talent, I disagree. I don't see much wrong with selecting him in the top 10. He's got a nice, balanced build and a decent GB%. His junior year of high school was a little high in the home run department, but nothing too major to be worried about. The big concern is that he'll age directly following the draft. He also already progressed, so there's some risk (and why my file ranked him lower) that he sees a sizeable aging drop. However, if he can stay at an 87 or 88 peak, he'll be a perfect winterball candidate to get back some upside and could be on his way to becoming a nice pitcher.

10.  SP Paul Thaxton 63/89 - Age 21
Rank: #15 | Score: 86.92 | Last Year: 85.96
Projection: 83 Con 90 Pow 85 Mov

Lots of power and lots of home runs are what I initially see out of this guy. Taking a deeper dive and you'll notice that he already aged (a 3 drop), which should/could spell that he has six or seven years to develop. If he can become what his projections suggest, he might not be far off from what the A's got in Shew at #6.

11. RF Nicholas Bayless 71/95 - Age 18
Rank: #8 | Score: 88.07 | Last Year: 88.56
Projection: 86 Con 87 Pow 100 Eye

I kind of really like him and then I kind of really hate him. He has a prototypical RF build and could have nice power. Then again, I can't help but think his eye being far above his power and contact will bring his ratings and/or production down. And that's before mentioning that he has -3 drop splits vs RHP. He's very young, so maybe there's enough time for him to become a prized middle of the order bat. However, with the concerns outlined, it's clear why a 95 peak, age 18 draftee dropped outside of the top 10.

12. 3B Andrew May 67/86 - Age 19
Rank: #18 | Score: 86.11 | Last Year: 85.39
Projection: 82 Con 78 Pow 83 Eye

At first, I think this may have been a case of getting slightly poor value. But, when you consider that the Angels don't pick again until the mid-2nd round, it's fine to get your guy while you still have a chance. I don't see him lasting another 30+ picks. Offensively, he'll almost certainly be limited to league average production (at-best), but it's his defense for why you take him. He'll be one of the best defenders at the hot corner in no time.

13. :cin; 1B Alex Achaval 63/89 - Age 20
Rank: #6 | Score: 89.03 | Last Year: 88.82
Projection: 94 Con 84 Pow 83 Eye

I'm a fan of Achaval and I think this could turn out to be a steal. He probably has just 20-25 home run potential, but he might end up with elite contact while consistently hitting .325+. First Base isn't the most important position defensively, but his elite glove there won't hurt at all. Maybe it's the position or maybe it's the probably contact build as to why he fell, but in four or five seasons, he could look like a 1B that many GMs would love to have.

14. LF Jeremy Dicken 69/80 - Age 20
Rank: #40 | Score: 83.08 | Last Year: 83.13
Projection: 91 Con 67 Pow 87 Eye

We have our first "reach." Most of the time players that GMs feel will outplay their vitals/rating go a little later. Though, if he can perform anywhere close to what Alan Reed did (2,200 Hits, 1,200 Runs, Career .800 OPS), then it'll be far worth it. Some may think that you need to shoot for Hall of Famers, but a simple valuable piece for 6-8 years can help your march towards a World Series.

15. 3B Dave Willis 70/90 - Age 19
Rank: #22 | Score: 85.20 | Last Year: 84.44
Projection: 85 Con 80 Pow 69 Eye

I don't hate him, but I certainly don't love him either. It's easy to see that the defense probably makes him a startable option. But I think that's where it ends.  Offensively, I worry. He has a very low K/low BB eye. That's the type of eye that produces inflated contact numbers. Players that can survive this type of eye generally have something else, offensively, that's elite (i.e. speed or power). Additionally, his poor health means you're probably not going to get 140+ games out of him very often. Still, he's solid enough if you're fine with a ~.650-.700 OPS bat who'll play good defense at 3B.

16. SP Johnny Dahlberg 52/84 - Age 17
Rank: #39 | Score: 83.12 | Last Year: 83.18
Projection: 83 Con 75 Pow 87 Mov

He didn't make my list, but only because I stopped at 85 peaks and didn't resume until after he was taken. Otherwise, he'd have made my list and been a decent amount higher than my file gave him. He's very young, has decent starting control and a good groundball rate. There's plenty of time for him to develop into a quality starting pitcher.

17. RF Stew Copeland 75/93 - Age 22
Rank: #21 | Score: 85.47 | Last Year: 84.74
Projection: 85 Con 94 Pow 80 Eye

He may be the steal of the draft. He clearly has power and should have solid contact to go along with an eye that'll walk a decent amount, but neither walk or strikeout too much nor too little. He has deceptive speed and should get enough range to be considered for one of the corner outfield spots. He didn't see much of an aging drop, so I don't think concerns of an older college player peaking out early are a valid concern. He could be one of the more dynamic bats in this draft.

18. 2B Marco Charon 69/93 - Age 19
Rank: #10 | Score: 87.70 | Last Year: 87.58
Projection: 86 Con 82 Pow 86 Eye

I think he'll be a solid player, but I think many others were lukewarm on him (like I was) with his lack of speed. That kind of a projected bat to go along with solid defensive vitals usually goes much earlier than this. He'll be a good one to watch in the future to see if his lack of speed truly does hold him back.

19. RF Rey Perez 78/87 - Age 21
Rank: #11 | Score: 87.70 | Last Year: 87.39
Projection: 81 Con 89 Pow 89 Eye

Before Spring Training, he looked mighty appealing - Then he aged and saw a 5-point peak drop. All signs point to him peaking out next spring. If correct, he'll need a nice jump this season or else it'll (mostly) become a wasted pick. Even if he'd only have his window boost, he'd still be pretty solid, but far from what you'd expect out of a first round pick. It's a high risk pick, but Milwaukee was a team that had the pick ammo to take a shot.

20. SP Masamitsu Kimio 55/92 - Age 19
Rank: #28 | Score: 84.60 | Last Year: 83.77
Projection: 76 Con 91 Pow 92 Eye

For obvious reasons, he did not make my list. Also, his control is concerning to me. However, his GB% does make sense for being a power pitcher. The big question for me is if his one seasons of high home runs will creep up or if his other three seasons of lower homers will shine through. If the control can keep up the pace with his power and movement, he could be pretty good. But, Mogul probably gonna Mogul.

  PSBL.xlsx (Size: 98.11 KB / Downloads: 2) ]]>
Guide
Rank: Where the player ranks in my draft scouting file.

Score: My file gives every player a score in order to rank them. This is a nice tool to see how strong or weak a draft is compared to past drafts.

Last Year: This is simply where last year's player at the same rank scored for reference. (i.e. if pick #20 ranked #25, then it's comparing the score for the 25th ranked draftee from last season, not the 20th pick from last season.

Projection: This is how my file predicts the player will develop. It's mostly based on current upside/peak, but a draftee already aging or jumping can have an effect on the projection as well.



01.  SS Alejandro Soto 73/91 - Age 21
Rank: #2 | Score: 90.73 | Last Year: 92.31
Projection: 86 Con 81 Pow 84 Eye

Granted, I don't think Mike understands the difference between scarcity and value, I do like the pick. He should have a relatively balanced bat to go along with obvious speed and steal ability. Ideally, you'd like for your SS to be better defensively. However, his speed makes up for his arm and range and he'll be a fine defender. The only thing that stops him from being a great player is if he has limited time to develop.

02.  CF Tim Davis 67/93 - Age 19
Rank: #3 | Score: 90.65 | Last Year: 89.71
Projection: 100 Con 77 Pow 81 Eye

Despite Gilly's best efforts, I think he actually made a great pick! Davis should have elite contact to go along with good speed/steal ability. His defense is lackluster and maybe best suited for LF, but again, his speed makes up for less-than-ideal range and he should wind up good enough to patrol central.

03.  SP Adam McGilvernock 65/93 - Age 18
Rank: #1 | Score: 93.33 | Last Year: 95.84
Projection: 88 Con 79 Pow 92 Mov

How does a guy with projected vitals like that rank at #1? Well, when you drop from a 93 peak to a 93 peak when you age, it'll boost your score! Now, it's likely that he truly dropped from a 94 to 93 peak when he aged (remember, Mogul counts by two once 93+ peak/overall), but still a very small aging drop suggests that he'll have a long time to develop and a good candidate to beat his projected vitals. With the evidence provided, I would not be surprised if he develops into an Ace.

04.  SS Marcello Enrigvez 69/84 - Age 20
Rank: #17 | Score: 86.69 | Last Year: 85.49
Projection: 78 Con 76 Pow 78 Eye

If you've been following along to past draft pod reviews, it's no surprise that I really don't like these type of players. It's not that I don't think they could be good, but it's that I feel this build has proven to have a high fail rate and I see it as more of a tease than something to believe. The speed is unquestioned as mega elite. The questionable part is how will his bat develop? These guys just seem to fall short of being impactful offensively and the speed usually isn't enough to save them from being more than a nice bench option. Maybe he bucks the trend?

05.  SP Sean McNeese 52/89 - Age 17
Rank: #16 | Score: 86.82 | Last Year: 85.54
Projection: 86 Con 80 Pow 91 Mov

Despite a middling ranking, I think he's pretty solid. He has a nice control-movement projection to go along with a good GB%. His home runs are a little high, but he's just 17 (18 next sim). With aging next sim, we'll quickly have a good idea of just how long he'll have to develop.

6.  SP John Shew 68/93 - Age 20
Rank: #4 | Score: 89.87 | Last Year: 89.11
Projection: 88 Con 95 Pow 88 Mov

I think he's a very interesting case subject. He's got some impressive starting (and projecting) power. His control is solid and he has the looks of someone who could be an Ace. However, I can't help but think that his movement is too far behind his power. Certainly, movement develops the most out of the three vitals, but I worry that the projections could be right and his movement doesn't get to 90. If it doesn't, I think he could be a guy who is simply good and not dominant.

7.  SP Adam Wheatcroft 69/93 - Age 20
Rank: #9 | Score: 87.80 | Last Year: 87.93
Projection: 83 Con 76 Pow 100 Mov

I don't have a good read on this guy. His control is already behind his movement, but it's not as bad as it would be for a 50s overall pitcher. My guess is that the sanity checks make his control develop better than projected (and as a result, his movement isn't that high). He only shows one season of high home runs (his freshman year of high school), maybe it's an anomaly or maybe it suggests something with a lower GB% from a non-power arm.

8.  SP Bertrand Worth 63/91 - Age 19
Rank: #23 | Score: 84.95 | Last Year: 84.18
Projection: 80 Con 86 Pow 88 Mov

Be shocked! GD took a power arm that probably wasn't one of the top remaining SPs on many other's board. Differing from Wheatcroft, I do like Worth's power and GB% combo. A 40% GB rate is quite nice for a pitcher that I'd more label as a power arm. And like Wheatcroft, he does show some high home run years, but there's a difference in home run issues coming from a 73 movement vs a 59 movement. I think Worth develops in the type of arm that lasts a decade in St. Louis as a reliable starter.

9.  SP Dusty Clowery 63/90 - Age 20
Rank: #27 | Score: 84.63 | Last Year: 84.01
Projection: 83 Con 81 Pow 87 Mov

Even though my file said he was barely a 1st round talent, I disagree. I don't see much wrong with selecting him in the top 10. He's got a nice, balanced build and a decent GB%. His junior year of high school was a little high in the home run department, but nothing too major to be worried about. The big concern is that he'll age directly following the draft. He also already progressed, so there's some risk (and why my file ranked him lower) that he sees a sizeable aging drop. However, if he can stay at an 87 or 88 peak, he'll be a perfect winterball candidate to get back some upside and could be on his way to becoming a nice pitcher.

10.  SP Paul Thaxton 63/89 - Age 21
Rank: #15 | Score: 86.92 | Last Year: 85.96
Projection: 83 Con 90 Pow 85 Mov

Lots of power and lots of home runs are what I initially see out of this guy. Taking a deeper dive and you'll notice that he already aged (a 3 drop), which should/could spell that he has six or seven years to develop. If he can become what his projections suggest, he might not be far off from what the A's got in Shew at #6.

11. RF Nicholas Bayless 71/95 - Age 18
Rank: #8 | Score: 88.07 | Last Year: 88.56
Projection: 86 Con 87 Pow 100 Eye

I kind of really like him and then I kind of really hate him. He has a prototypical RF build and could have nice power. Then again, I can't help but think his eye being far above his power and contact will bring his ratings and/or production down. And that's before mentioning that he has -3 drop splits vs RHP. He's very young, so maybe there's enough time for him to become a prized middle of the order bat. However, with the concerns outlined, it's clear why a 95 peak, age 18 draftee dropped outside of the top 10.

12. 3B Andrew May 67/86 - Age 19
Rank: #18 | Score: 86.11 | Last Year: 85.39
Projection: 82 Con 78 Pow 83 Eye

At first, I think this may have been a case of getting slightly poor value. But, when you consider that the Angels don't pick again until the mid-2nd round, it's fine to get your guy while you still have a chance. I don't see him lasting another 30+ picks. Offensively, he'll almost certainly be limited to league average production (at-best), but it's his defense for why you take him. He'll be one of the best defenders at the hot corner in no time.

13. :cin; 1B Alex Achaval 63/89 - Age 20
Rank: #6 | Score: 89.03 | Last Year: 88.82
Projection: 94 Con 84 Pow 83 Eye

I'm a fan of Achaval and I think this could turn out to be a steal. He probably has just 20-25 home run potential, but he might end up with elite contact while consistently hitting .325+. First Base isn't the most important position defensively, but his elite glove there won't hurt at all. Maybe it's the position or maybe it's the probably contact build as to why he fell, but in four or five seasons, he could look like a 1B that many GMs would love to have.

14. LF Jeremy Dicken 69/80 - Age 20
Rank: #40 | Score: 83.08 | Last Year: 83.13
Projection: 91 Con 67 Pow 87 Eye

We have our first "reach." Most of the time players that GMs feel will outplay their vitals/rating go a little later. Though, if he can perform anywhere close to what Alan Reed did (2,200 Hits, 1,200 Runs, Career .800 OPS), then it'll be far worth it. Some may think that you need to shoot for Hall of Famers, but a simple valuable piece for 6-8 years can help your march towards a World Series.

15. 3B Dave Willis 70/90 - Age 19
Rank: #22 | Score: 85.20 | Last Year: 84.44
Projection: 85 Con 80 Pow 69 Eye

I don't hate him, but I certainly don't love him either. It's easy to see that the defense probably makes him a startable option. But I think that's where it ends.  Offensively, I worry. He has a very low K/low BB eye. That's the type of eye that produces inflated contact numbers. Players that can survive this type of eye generally have something else, offensively, that's elite (i.e. speed or power). Additionally, his poor health means you're probably not going to get 140+ games out of him very often. Still, he's solid enough if you're fine with a ~.650-.700 OPS bat who'll play good defense at 3B.

16. SP Johnny Dahlberg 52/84 - Age 17
Rank: #39 | Score: 83.12 | Last Year: 83.18
Projection: 83 Con 75 Pow 87 Mov

He didn't make my list, but only because I stopped at 85 peaks and didn't resume until after he was taken. Otherwise, he'd have made my list and been a decent amount higher than my file gave him. He's very young, has decent starting control and a good groundball rate. There's plenty of time for him to develop into a quality starting pitcher.

17. RF Stew Copeland 75/93 - Age 22
Rank: #21 | Score: 85.47 | Last Year: 84.74
Projection: 85 Con 94 Pow 80 Eye

He may be the steal of the draft. He clearly has power and should have solid contact to go along with an eye that'll walk a decent amount, but neither walk or strikeout too much nor too little. He has deceptive speed and should get enough range to be considered for one of the corner outfield spots. He didn't see much of an aging drop, so I don't think concerns of an older college player peaking out early are a valid concern. He could be one of the more dynamic bats in this draft.

18. 2B Marco Charon 69/93 - Age 19
Rank: #10 | Score: 87.70 | Last Year: 87.58
Projection: 86 Con 82 Pow 86 Eye

I think he'll be a solid player, but I think many others were lukewarm on him (like I was) with his lack of speed. That kind of a projected bat to go along with solid defensive vitals usually goes much earlier than this. He'll be a good one to watch in the future to see if his lack of speed truly does hold him back.

19. RF Rey Perez 78/87 - Age 21
Rank: #11 | Score: 87.70 | Last Year: 87.39
Projection: 81 Con 89 Pow 89 Eye

Before Spring Training, he looked mighty appealing - Then he aged and saw a 5-point peak drop. All signs point to him peaking out next spring. If correct, he'll need a nice jump this season or else it'll (mostly) become a wasted pick. Even if he'd only have his window boost, he'd still be pretty solid, but far from what you'd expect out of a first round pick. It's a high risk pick, but Milwaukee was a team that had the pick ammo to take a shot.

20. SP Masamitsu Kimio 55/92 - Age 19
Rank: #28 | Score: 84.60 | Last Year: 83.77
Projection: 76 Con 91 Pow 92 Eye

For obvious reasons, he did not make my list. Also, his control is concerning to me. However, his GB% does make sense for being a power pitcher. The big question for me is if his one seasons of high home runs will creep up or if his other three seasons of lower homers will shine through. If the control can keep up the pace with his power and movement, he could be pretty good. But, Mogul probably gonna Mogul.

  PSBL.xlsx (Size: 98.11 KB / Downloads: 2) ]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=63410 Tue, 30 Aug 2022 12:12:03 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=63410 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=63150 Wed, 20 Jul 2022 12:41:59 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=63150 What were your thoughts on the 2117 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2117 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62863 Mon, 06 Jun 2022 20:50:36 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62863 What were your thoughts on the 2116 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2116 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62567 Sun, 08 May 2022 13:35:35 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62567 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62560 Sun, 08 May 2022 12:18:46 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62560 What were your thoughts on the 2115 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2115 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62274 Mon, 28 Mar 2022 17:54:22 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=62274 What were your thoughts on the 2114 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2114 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61994 Sun, 13 Feb 2022 12:11:27 -0600 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61994 What were your thoughts on the 2113 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2113 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61716 Sun, 02 Jan 2022 11:20:50 -0600 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61716 What were your thoughts on the 2112 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2112 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61413 Sun, 14 Nov 2021 15:39:20 -0600 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61413 What were your thoughts on the 2111 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2111 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61145 Mon, 04 Oct 2021 09:55:58 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=61145 What were your thoughts on the 2110 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2110 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60894 Thu, 09 Sep 2021 10:11:44 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60894 What were your thoughts on the 2109 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2109 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60843 Sun, 22 Aug 2021 09:12:36 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60843
  FCM 2109 Draft Scouting.xlsx (Size: 803.97 KB / Downloads: 22) ]]>
  FCM 2109 Draft Scouting.xlsx (Size: 803.97 KB / Downloads: 22) ]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60579 Mon, 12 Jul 2021 15:53:28 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60579 What were your thoughts on the 2108 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2108 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60315 Mon, 21 Jun 2021 09:04:33 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=60315 What were your thoughts on the 2107 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> What were your thoughts on the 2107 Draft? Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=59999 Thu, 06 May 2021 12:18:22 -0500 https://www.firstclassmogul.com/showthread.php?tid=59999 Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]> Vote and we'll review after 10 seasons. Feel free to reply with any hot takes.]]>